Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Julie Doran

Team: GladstoneDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1069

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

65

Matches Played

24

Wins

41

Losses

37%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

9.3

Avg Loss Margin

16-15

Home Record

8-26

Away Record

89%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
16 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/26/2026

A solid recent sample: 16 of 17 matches needed for full confidence in the 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins24/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
Home Dominance8/8 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 65 matches

+5 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Jun29 Aug4 Jun27 Aug1 Jul7 Aug22 May26 Aug-13713

Gives 5 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
63%
score+0.25→contribution+0.10
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.5
score+0.25→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
63%
score+0.25→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
973
score+0.22→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.184
Sample Size Confidence
89%(16/17 matches)
Rating1092 → shrunk 1081
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)1026
Recency Blend21% (16 recent matches)
Final Rating1069
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

24W41L65 matches·36.9% win rate
-314 since first recorded
26 Aug2 Sept3 Sept7308209101083
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Gladstone2023–2026Division 165244136.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/26/2026Cathy Kavanagh (sa)A3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
8/17/2026Gerda EvansH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2026Etty JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
8/3/2026Brenda Moore (FA)H21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2026Angela HoldenA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/20/2026Nancy BrabanderH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
6/8/2026Anne Chapman (FA)H21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2026Sue Jenkins (SA)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
6/1/2026Pat WakefieldH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2026Brenda SmithA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
5/22/2026Joan McBride (SA)A21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
5/18/2026Shirley Zarbal (SA)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/11/2026Etty JonesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Debbie Silcock (FA)A19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Jamilah Ball (FA)A16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
4/27/2026Susan Cowan (SA)H21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Yvonne Salisbury (FB)H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Fiona Campbell (SA)A4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2025Carol PareH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
8/7/2025Jean Roberts (FA)A17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Susan Cowan (FA)A10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2025Jean JenkinsH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Hefina Howarth( FB)A16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2025Kath Davies (SA)H9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025Carole Long (SA)A17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2025Nancy BrabanderA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2025Rosemary Winkle (FB)H21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2025Jean Roberts (FA)H15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2025Lynne Cooper (SA)H13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/29/2025Doreen Johnson (SA)A21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/13/2025Babs Woodward (SA)H3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
5/8/2025Dawn ParsleyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Ailsa Curry (FB)A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
4/24/2025Etty JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Chris McalisterH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/21/2024Tess Szymanska (FA)A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2024Anne TaylorH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2024Jean Roberts (SB)A11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2024Gerda Evans (SB)H13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2024Val Arnold (SA)H14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/2/2024Irene Yates (SA)A11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2024Liz Robinson (SB)H21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2024Karen Ellis (FB)H20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
6/4/2024Jean Clark (SB)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2024Kath Davies (FA)H20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024Kit Jackson (SA)A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2024Sue Wynne (SA)H21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
5/13/2024Dee Butler (FA)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2024Pat WakefieldA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2024Nicky Bailey (SA)A4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2024Pauline Haines (FA)H21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Tina WoodsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/24/2023Tess Szymanska (FA)A21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
8/21/2023Irene Yates (SA)H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/10/2023Helen Blackburn (SB)A21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
7/31/2023Sue Wynne (SA)H17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/24/2023Gerda Evans (SB)A16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
7/17/2023Kath Davies (SA)H3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Jamilah Ball (FA)A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/26/2023Lyn Bennett (SA)H4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
6/19/2023Anne-Marie (FB) ProffittH1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Maureen Percival (SA)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Brenda Moore (SA)A0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision 1
5/4/2023Kerys FreemanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
4/24/2023Pam Humphreys (SA)H12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWLWLWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Etty Jones12333.3%8/6/2026
Nancy Brabander11250%7/20/2026
Pat Wakefield202100%6/1/2026
Jamilah Ball (FA)0220%4/28/2026
Jean Roberts (FA)0220%8/7/2025
Kath Davies (SA)0220%7/21/2025
Tess Szymanska (FA)11250%8/21/2024
Gerda Evans (SB)0220%7/29/2024
Irene Yates (SA)11250%7/2/2024
Sue Wynne (SA)11250%5/20/2024
Biggest Win
Susan Cowan (SA) (+20)4/27/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Brenda Moore (SA) (-21)5/9/2023
Best Season
202663% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202517% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
34% → 39%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95545 known · 20 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
5-1624% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
9-1538% win rate
Division 136.9%
24W·41L·65 played

Debut

Apr 24, 2023

Latest

Aug 26, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.3 (65 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026